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FUEL OR ENGINES: What does RBI's consumer confidence survey suggest

  • Inflationary expectations, as reflected by the households survey conducted by Reserve Bank of India (RBI), has always been an important variable taken into consideration during the monetary policy meetings. However, the consumer confidence survey (CCS) for November 2017, which is conducted among households across various cities, has revealed some conflicting trends.
  • According to the results of the recent survey, while households' one-year-ahead expectations of income and employment are at the lowest level in four years, an overwhelming majority of respondents (second highest on record)expects   spending to improve next year. Moreover, while the current perception (vis-a-vis a year ago) on income and employment is the worst on record (more respondents expect a decrease than increase), a record-high proportion of respondents has reported higher spending.